← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.45vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+7.48vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.39+6.14vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.10+6.04vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.90+5.89vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.70vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.50+1.34vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+2.74vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.29+0.34vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.38-0.76vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.33-1.71vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.65-3.84vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.52-4.78vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.78-7.04vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.77vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.90-4.91vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.86-5.70vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College3.23-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
-
9.14Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.04Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
-
10.89University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.34Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
-
9.34University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
-
9.24Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.29Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.16Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.22Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
-
6.96College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
-
13.23University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.09Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.39Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 25.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.