Race 2A

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Paggi 8.4% 8.5% 7.8% 10.0% 10.5% 10.2% 11.3% 10.1% 9.5% 7.7% 3.8% 2.2%
Annie Schmidt 17.0% 17.9% 14.0% 11.7% 11.9% 8.6% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Hunter Mumma 20.1% 15.6% 14.3% 12.3% 11.0% 10.7% 7.2% 4.4% 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Solomon Krevans 9.3% 11.3% 13.1% 10.8% 12.3% 9.7% 9.9% 7.3% 6.1% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8%
Heidi Hood 7.0% 8.1% 8.4% 9.3% 9.1% 10.0% 9.3% 9.5% 11.4% 8.5% 7.0% 2.4%
Andrew McHenry 4.5% 5.7% 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 9.4% 9.6% 12.7% 13.8% 13.4% 6.4%
Emily McNeil 11.8% 11.7% 10.6% 10.7% 11.3% 10.2% 8.8% 9.7% 7.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1%
Ansel Duff 7.5% 6.5% 5.8% 8.9% 6.7% 7.8% 10.4% 10.5% 10.1% 14.9% 6.2% 4.7%
Brian Gracey 6.7% 5.6% 8.0% 9.9% 9.2% 10.9% 9.7% 11.9% 9.8% 9.2% 7.2% 1.9%
Jamie Lansdowne 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.4% 7.4% 8.8% 11.1% 24.0% 28.2%
Neil Forrester 4.7% 4.9% 7.3% 6.0% 7.3% 8.8% 9.3% 10.7% 11.7% 13.2% 10.9% 5.2%
Francisco Salas 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 1.8% 3.3% 7.1% 8.1% 21.2% 47.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.