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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.07+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.10+0.84vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.57+0.90vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.53-0.08vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.03-0.28vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-1.08-1.07vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.06-0.40vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-2.73-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.60-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Notre Dame-0.0722.2%1st Place
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2.84University of Michigan0.1026.6%1st Place
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3.9Purdue University-0.5714.4%1st Place
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3.92Ohio State University-0.5314.1%1st Place
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4.72Western Michigan University-1.038.5%1st Place
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4.93Michigan Technological University-1.087.8%1st Place
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6.6Marquette University-2.062.9%1st Place
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7.54Saint Mary's College-2.732.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Notre Dame-2.601.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Opferman | 22.2% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ted Sherman | 26.6% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Stella Brown | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 24.9% | 16.8% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 24.6% | 42.5% |
| John Manning | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 27.7% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.