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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+4.19vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.06+7.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+3.09vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.68+3.02vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.92+1.24vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+5.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.15-1.47vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.36-3.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+0.63vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.92+5.83vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.23+1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.54-0.27vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.53-1.81vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.73-7.30vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.12-2.20vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.64-4.86vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.16-4.23vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.64Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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6.09Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.02College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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6.24Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
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11.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.8Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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15.83Fordham University-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.54George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.8Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.6% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Callie Hammond | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Sperry | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Elfi Van Kuilenburg | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 51.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 7.9% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Ella Towner | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 9.5% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Ella Demand | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.