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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+0.58vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.79+0.75vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64-0.05vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14-1.34vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.72-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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2.58University of South Florida1.560.3%1st Place
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3.75Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.95Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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5.02North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.74Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 36.7% | 27.2% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Kailey Warrior | 27.2% | 27.8% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 11.1% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 5.7% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 25.6% | 22.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 15.9% |
| Madeleine Harris | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.