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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+1.71vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+1.03vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.64-1.02vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.72-0.18vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.79-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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2.58University of South Florida1.560.3%1st Place
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4.71University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.03North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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3.98Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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5.82Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.61Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 37.3% | 26.6% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kailey Warrior | 26.7% | 27.4% | 22.2% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 25.4% | 15.3% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 26.5% | 22.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 9.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Madeleine Harris | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.2% | 49.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 13.8% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.