← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.56+1.67vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College0.64+2.00vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University0.28+1.59vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.79-0.18vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University-0.72+0.93vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami0.14-1.25vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.83-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67University of South Florida1.560.3%1st Place
-
4.0Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.59North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
-
3.82Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
-
5.93Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.75University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
-
2.24College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 28.1% | 25.5% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 9.3% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 24.3% | 13.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 11.0% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 4.8% |
| Madeleine Harris | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 54.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 18.7% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 37.6% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.