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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+0.66vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.28+1.60vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14-0.21vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.79-2.18vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.72-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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2.66University of South Florida1.560.3%1st Place
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4.6North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.02Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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3.82Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.81Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 36.3% | 26.4% | 18.6% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kailey Warrior | 26.4% | 26.3% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 21.7% | 15.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 6.9% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 24.3% | 18.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 11.4% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 5.4% |
| Madeleine Harris | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.