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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.10+1.87vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.08+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.07+0.16vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.53-0.15vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.03-0.19vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.57-2.04vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-2.73+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.60-0.63vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-2.06-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Michigan0.1027.3%1st Place
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4.84Michigan Technological University-1.089.2%1st Place
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3.16University of Notre Dame-0.0721.2%1st Place
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3.85Ohio State University-0.5314.5%1st Place
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4.81Western Michigan University-1.038.0%1st Place
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3.96Purdue University-0.5714.0%1st Place
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7.52Saint Mary's College-2.731.6%1st Place
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7.37University of Notre Dame-2.601.5%1st Place
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6.62Marquette University-2.062.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 27.3% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Opferman | 21.2% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.5% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Gavin Holmes | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 25.2% | 41.0% |
| John Manning | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| Stella Brown | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 25.4% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.