Race 3A

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hunter Mumma 17.3% 16.1% 14.8% 14.4% 10.5% 9.4% 6.0% 5.4% 3.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Annie Schmidt 17.9% 16.8% 14.4% 13.2% 10.0% 9.1% 6.5% 6.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 5.7% 4.1% 5.3% 6.6% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 10.5% 13.5% 12.6% 13.7% 6.2%
Emily McNeil 8.8% 11.7% 12.2% 10.3% 11.6% 11.2% 9.2% 7.5% 7.8% 6.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Solomon Krevans 10.4% 12.0% 11.3% 10.3% 10.8% 11.7% 10.5% 6.9% 6.4% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0%
Neil Forrester 5.3% 7.1% 6.6% 5.6% 5.8% 9.0% 10.2% 10.5% 11.7% 12.0% 11.8% 4.4%
Nicholas Paggi 9.7% 9.5% 8.4% 10.3% 10.2% 9.5% 11.6% 9.6% 8.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8%
Heidi Hood 8.9% 8.4% 8.6% 7.7% 9.8% 9.1% 10.2% 10.6% 10.0% 8.4% 5.6% 2.7%
Brian Gracey 5.9% 6.9% 7.5% 9.8% 10.5% 9.5% 10.2% 11.6% 9.8% 10.1% 6.0% 2.2%
Francisco Salas 1.4% 1.1% 2.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 4.1% 6.2% 10.1% 17.8% 46.8%
Jamie Lansdowne 2.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 4.1% 4.5% 5.4% 7.2% 12.7% 24.8% 30.5%
Ansel Duff 6.4% 5.0% 6.2% 7.2% 9.4% 7.8% 9.9% 11.0% 12.7% 11.6% 9.4% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.