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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+2.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+2.85vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+3.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+1.99vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60+3.74vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.77-1.50vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.09-0.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.23vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.59-3.67vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.50-0.67vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.77-2.95vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20+1.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.43-7.23vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.22-3.88vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.23vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.21-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.07Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.74Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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15.47Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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14.77Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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16.97University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.8% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 33.3% | 19.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 23.0% | 28.5% | 10.3% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 6.7% | 16.5% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.