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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.81vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.09+6.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.91vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.77+1.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+1.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67-0.10vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.59-0.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.77+1.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.10-4.34vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.22+0.29vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-2.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-4.74vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.20+0.61vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.50-4.86vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.26vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.21-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.66Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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10.58Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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15.61Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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14.74Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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16.93University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 19.5% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 33.8% | 21.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 22.8% | 27.7% | 10.1% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 18.9% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.