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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+6.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+1.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.59+4.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+2.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67+1.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+3.59vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.10-1.48vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.77+2.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60+1.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.81vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.50+0.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.09-2.75vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-4.22vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.25+0.48vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.05-9.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-0.38vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.13-4.57vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.21-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.99Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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5.52Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.71Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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14.48Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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5.59Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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15.62Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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16.91University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.9% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 23.5% | 23.1% | 10.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 37.7% | 20.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 6.3% | 17.4% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.