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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+6.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+4.66vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.50+8.25vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+3.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-1.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10-0.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60+3.63vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43-0.35vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.09-0.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-4.27vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.77-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.75-1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.22-1.26vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-6.30vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-6.49vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.21+0.11vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.66Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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3.95Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.42Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.63Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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14.64Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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17.11University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.46Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Chase Decker | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.6% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Max Sigel | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 23.8% | 26.0% | 9.6% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 14.8% | 68.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 17.2% | 37.4% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.