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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+4.63vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.60+7.92vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+3.57vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75+4.14vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.94vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.67-1.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.09-0.08vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.77+0.30vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.10-5.52vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.59-4.64vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.25+1.50vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.22-2.29vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.50-4.00vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-6.47vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.20-1.38vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.21-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.92Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.92Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.48Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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14.5Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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11.0Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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15.62Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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16.94University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 22.1% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 22.7% | 24.6% | 10.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 17.5% | 34.5% | 22.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 19.0% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.