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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+2.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.49vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+3.72vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+1.14vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.09+3.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.22+4.62vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.77-1.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.57vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.77-1.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.59-1.33vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.75-3.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-3.86vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.21+2.02vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.53vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.50-6.13vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.49Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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6.12Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.67Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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17.02University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.47Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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15.33Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 20.0% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ben Sheppard | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Max Sigel | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 16.4% | 66.4% |
| Finn Deprez | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 20.4% | 26.0% | 9.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 17.3% | 31.5% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.