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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.05vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+3.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+4.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.09+4.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67+1.82vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+0.60vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05-1.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.11vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.27+4.69vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-1.98vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.59-4.60vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-2.11vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-3.60vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.22-3.05vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.77-5.81vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.20-1.34vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.21-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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14.69Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.89Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.4Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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15.66Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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16.9University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 19.1% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Finn Deprez | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 22.7% | 25.7% | 11.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 16.5% | 35.4% | 22.6% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 19.5% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.