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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-1.08+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.10+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.07-0.53vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57-0.93vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.06+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.60-0.31vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-2.73-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Michigan Technological University-1.0811.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Michigan0.1035.7%1st Place
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2.47University of Notre Dame-0.0728.9%1st Place
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3.07Purdue University-0.5716.8%1st Place
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5.07Marquette University-2.063.9%1st Place
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5.69University of Notre Dame-2.602.6%1st Place
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5.8Saint Mary's College-2.731.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Sorbie | 11.1% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 20.2% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Ted Sherman | 35.7% | 29.8% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Opferman | 28.9% | 27.0% | 22.0% | 14.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 16.8% | 20.3% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Stella Brown | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 24.7% | 27.2% | 19.0% |
| John Manning | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 30.4% | 35.9% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 15.9% | 26.3% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.