Race 4A

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

8.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brian Gracey 6.8% 5.9% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 9.1% 10.7% 9.9% 13.2% 9.1% 7.3% 3.7%
Francisco Salas 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 2.9% 4.4% 6.2% 10.0% 19.9% 45.4%
Andrew McHenry 5.4% 4.8% 5.8% 5.4% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 9.6% 12.8% 14.8% 12.2% 7.1%
Neil Forrester 4.7% 4.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 13.2% 11.0% 11.1% 10.5% 4.5%
Jamie Lansdowne 1.3% 2.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 6.9% 13.3% 23.6% 29.0%
Hunter Mumma 19.9% 14.4% 15.8% 13.6% 12.5% 7.6% 6.2% 5.1% 2.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.4%
Heidi Hood 8.0% 7.3% 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 9.0% 10.1% 8.2% 11.7% 7.4% 6.3% 2.9%
Annie Schmidt 18.2% 19.3% 11.7% 12.0% 10.5% 10.3% 7.7% 4.6% 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Nicholas Paggi 6.6% 12.1% 9.4% 10.9% 10.1% 11.0% 8.1% 11.4% 8.1% 7.3% 3.7% 1.3%
Solomon Krevans 11.3% 11.4% 12.1% 11.9% 9.4% 9.9% 10.1% 7.9% 7.9% 4.9% 2.8% 0.4%
Ansel Duff 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 6.8% 7.9% 9.3% 10.9% 9.9% 10.1% 12.5% 10.1% 4.9%
Emily McNeil 11.5% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 10.1% 10.1% 11.2% 9.9% 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.