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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+1.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+4.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+3.15vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.22+6.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+0.61vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67-0.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.60+2.25vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-3.45vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.09-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-2.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.39vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.50-3.09vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.77-5.11vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-0.97vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.21-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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3.79Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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15.03Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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16.32University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.6% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 45.0% | 22.8% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 17.4% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.