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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+4.24vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+4.39vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.77+6.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+2.88vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.66vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.09+3.00vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.59+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.22+3.45vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.50+2.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-2.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-5.29vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-3.27vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.64-9.05vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-3.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.53vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-0.97vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.21-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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11.0Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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3.95Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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10.62Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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15.03Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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16.33University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 2.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 20.7% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 11.3% | 44.1% | 23.5% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 17.4% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.