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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+5.98vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.50+9.22vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.59+4.27vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.20+11.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.80vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.70+4.32vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.10-1.64vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.77-1.57vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.27+5.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.29vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.09-2.03vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-3.95vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-2.48vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.64-10.16vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.05-9.50vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.77-5.95vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-4.94vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.21-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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15.44Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island1.700.0%1st Place
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5.36Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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14.56Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.52Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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3.84Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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16.92University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Chase Decker | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 15.2% | 33.6% | 21.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Finn Deprez | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 23.8% | 24.8% | 9.3% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.7% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 17.3% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.