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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+4.01vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+4.82vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+6.12vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38+5.71vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57+4.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.72-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+1.05vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.66+4.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.50+0.65vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.64-4.80vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.26-4.24vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.23-1.79vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.21-6.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.41-4.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-6.56vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.91+0.55vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.78-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.37Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.69Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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17.55University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 25.7% | 4.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.8% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Teo | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 89.2% |
| Jack Schneider | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.