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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+5.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+2.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+4.47vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+1.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.64+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+3.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.57+3.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.38+2.75vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.41+1.70vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.23+1.58vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.21-3.22vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.50-1.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-4.34vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.26-6.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.65vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.66-2.58vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.78-3.97vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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10.7Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.42Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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17.46University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 0.8% |
| Max Teo | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 0.6% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| William Kulas | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 25.7% | 4.6% |
| Jack Schneider | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 22.4% | 3.4% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.