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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+3.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.41+8.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+6.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.38+6.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.64+0.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.21+1.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.57+2.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-0.30vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.72-4.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.30-3.74vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.48-5.08vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.23-1.91vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.66-1.09vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.26-7.74vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.07-1.21vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.50-6.52vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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5.98Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.92Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.09Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.91Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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14.79Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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17.38University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 3.5% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Heath | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 42.0% | 8.7% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 7.6% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.