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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+4.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+4.20vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+8.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+4.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.48+1.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.50+4.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.21+0.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30-0.78vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.66+4.20vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.03-5.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.41-0.25vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.07+2.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.30vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.57-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.38-5.23vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.91+0.50vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.26-10.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.2Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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14.93Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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17.5University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
| Andy Yu | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 17.6% | 3.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Robert Heath | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 42.9% | 8.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 84.6% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.