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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.96vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+1.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05-1.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.65vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.35-0.79vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7214.9%1st Place
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3.52Boston University1.1418.4%1st Place
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2.97Brown University1.3425.9%1st Place
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4.23University of Vermont0.8410.9%1st Place
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4.0University of Rhode Island1.0514.1%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.1%1st Place
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6.21Amherst College-0.353.4%1st Place
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4.45Fairfield University0.7310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 14.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 18.4% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Grant Adam | 25.9% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 14.1% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 21.4% | 47.3% |
| Nat Edmonds | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 25.4% | 33.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.