Race 5A

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hunter Mumma 17.8% 16.9% 12.5% 14.4% 11.1% 9.4% 7.5% 4.0% 3.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Brian Gracey 5.2% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 10.4% 9.0% 11.7% 10.7% 10.2% 7.9% 2.2%
Neil Forrester 6.7% 5.6% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 7.3% 10.9% 8.8% 13.3% 13.1% 10.0% 4.7%
Solomon Krevans 9.4% 11.2% 11.1% 12.3% 10.8% 11.7% 9.1% 8.3% 7.0% 6.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Emily McNeil 10.1% 11.3% 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 10.7% 10.1% 7.7% 7.0% 5.5% 3.4% 0.7%
Annie Schmidt 18.2% 15.7% 15.6% 11.4% 11.3% 10.1% 6.4% 5.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 5.2% 5.6% 4.7% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 8.3% 10.4% 11.3% 13.5% 11.9% 6.4%
Nicholas Paggi 9.8% 9.0% 10.8% 8.8% 9.0% 10.3% 10.2% 10.5% 8.9% 6.5% 4.9% 1.3%
Heidi Hood 7.3% 6.6% 10.2% 9.7% 10.6% 8.6% 10.9% 11.9% 8.8% 9.6% 4.6% 1.2%
Ansel Duff 6.9% 5.7% 6.1% 7.8% 7.9% 8.0% 9.9% 10.7% 11.7% 11.0% 9.8% 4.5%
Francisco Salas 1.7% 1.8% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 8.3% 20.3% 48.1%
Jamie Lansdowne 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 6.2% 9.2% 12.1% 23.9% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.