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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.21+6.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+5.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.48+3.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+1.99vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+2.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.50+3.26vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.72-2.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.03-4.31vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.57+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-1.87vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.38-1.01vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.66+0.05vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.41-3.65vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-6.55vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.23-4.62vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.07-2.24vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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4.69Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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13.05Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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10.35Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.76Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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17.38University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearse Dowd | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 3.5% |
| Max Teo | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Andy Yu | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Heath | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 39.0% | 9.0% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.