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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.38+9.08vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.50+7.69vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.23+7.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03-0.17vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.48+0.66vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.30+0.37vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84+0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.41+0.98vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.64-4.83vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.21-4.06vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.66+0.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.88vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.26-7.65vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.57-5.82vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.78-3.91vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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10.69Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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4.83Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.66Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.98Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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13.14Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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13.09Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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17.46University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 1.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andy Yu | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Teo | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Toby Clarkson | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 24.1% | 4.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 3.9% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 5.5% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.