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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+5.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+6.81vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+8.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.21+3.60vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.50+5.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.45vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.72-1.18vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.26-0.62vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.57+1.20vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.64-3.72vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.03-6.06vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-2.53vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.66+0.16vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.30-6.92vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.78-2.09vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.38-5.13vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.41-6.12vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.0%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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13.16Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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12.91Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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10.88Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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17.46University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 1.5% |
| Pearse Dowd | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 24.8% | 3.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 3.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Max Teo | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.