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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+3.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.21+5.64vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+2.76vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.50+6.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.38+4.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.57+2.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+0.48vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-2.65vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-0.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.64-4.98vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.62vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.23-2.02vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.07+0.39vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-2.30vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.30-8.87vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.66-3.86vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.39Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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12.7Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.14Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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17.36University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| William Kulas | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Heath | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 34.3% | 8.2% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Toby Clarkson | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 3.5% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 6.8% | 83.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.