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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+5.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+2.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+4.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38+5.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.64-0.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.21+0.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.57+1.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.10vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.72-4.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.50-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.34vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.07+0.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.23-3.98vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.74-3.15vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.66-3.86vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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14.39Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.85Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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13.14Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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17.35University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Heath | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 32.3% | 8.6% |
| William Hurd | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 2.9% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 3.5% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.