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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+3.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+4.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.48+3.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.21+3.32vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.73-1.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.71vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.57+0.70vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.30-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.38-0.68vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.78+0.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.50-3.06vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.23-3.08vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.41-4.86vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.66-3.38vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.97Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.46Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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5.51Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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12.19Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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12.62Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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16.65University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.5% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 22.4% | 3.4% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| William Hurd | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 1.3% |
| Max Teo | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 0.6% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 25.0% | 3.8% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 87.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.