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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+7.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+3.44vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+1.58vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.57+5.72vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+1.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.41+3.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30-1.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.21-1.57vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.48-3.73vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.78+1.27vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.66+0.54vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.72-7.37vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.38-3.61vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.50-5.14vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.91+0.62vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.23-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.44Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.58Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.27Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.54Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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16.62University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Grainger | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| James Brock | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Max Teo | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 23.5% | 3.2% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 27.3% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 0.6% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 89.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.