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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+4.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+5.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.48+2.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.82vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.38+4.44vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26+0.16vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.03-3.39vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.78+3.37vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.45-0.07vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.66+1.63vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.21-4.76vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.41-2.70vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.57-4.25vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.30-8.04vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.50-6.05vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.61Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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12.63Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.3Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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16.66University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 0.2% |
| tanner krygsveld | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 22.8% | 3.4% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Toby Clarkson | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 28.1% | 4.4% |
| Pearse Dowd | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Max Teo | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 88.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.