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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+4.40vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+2.53vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.41+7.18vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+3.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.48+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.82vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.64-1.19vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30-1.14vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.78+3.40vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.38+0.25vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.50-1.02vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-1.98vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-3.27vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.92vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.66-2.44vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.21-8.66vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.91-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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9.73Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.56Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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16.67University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 0.7% |
| tanner krygsveld | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 23.2% | 3.3% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 28.0% | 3.8% |
| Pearse Dowd | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.