Race 1B

charles-river-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lizzy Hamilton 12.1% 10.6% 14.8% 12.3% 10.8% 11.2% 10.0% 7.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
OJ O'Connell 30.2% 26.3% 17.5% 8.5% 7.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abby Preston 13.2% 14.0% 14.1% 12.0% 12.2% 12.2% 9.8% 5.2% 4.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Javier Ramos 5.2% 7.3% 8.4% 10.9% 10.8% 10.0% 9.1% 11.0% 9.3% 8.5% 6.6% 2.9%
Luke Miller 2.5% 4.7% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.9% 9.1% 10.8% 13.1% 15.8% 13.9%
Ian Paice 9.9% 11.1% 10.9% 11.7% 11.6% 10.6% 10.3% 8.4% 7.1% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6%
Joseph Ballow 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 10.5% 8.1% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 10.9% 8.4% 6.0% 3.6%
Zachary Drach 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 7.9% 10.3% 9.6% 11.3% 12.4% 11.1% 6.7%
Max Fleischfresser 3.4% 3.4% 3.7% 5.6% 7.7% 8.8% 8.7% 11.3% 11.3% 12.3% 15.2% 8.6%
Kendra Norton 2.1% 1.8% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 7.3% 8.5% 10.9% 18.3% 33.8%
Matthew Wood 2.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 6.4% 7.3% 9.9% 14.8% 16.4% 27.1%
James Downer 7.0% 6.6% 7.3% 10.2% 10.1% 9.3% 11.0% 10.7% 10.8% 9.0% 5.8% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.