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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+1.98vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.84+1.09vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05-0.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.65vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.35-0.78vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Brown University1.3425.0%1st Place
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4.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7214.5%1st Place
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4.09University of Vermont0.8414.1%1st Place
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3.53Boston University1.1418.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Rhode Island1.0512.7%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.9%1st Place
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6.22Amherst College-0.353.2%1st Place
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4.48Fairfield University0.739.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 25.0% | 21.6% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 14.5% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 14.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 18.0% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 49.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 25.3% | 33.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.