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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-1.58+0.84vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-2.97+0.20vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-3.26-0.49vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.01-2.79vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-1.14vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-5.09-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Northwestern University-1.580.5%1st Place
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3.2Ohio State University-2.970.1%1st Place
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3.51Northwestern University-3.260.1%1st Place
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2.21Western Michigan University-2.010.3%1st Place
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4.86Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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5.38Grand Valley State University-5.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Spates | 47.3% | 29.0% | 16.9% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 11.0% | 18.3% | 28.2% | 26.7% | 13.3% | 2.5% |
| Heather Mooney | 9.7% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 36.9% | 17.7% | 3.4% |
| Jack Charlton | 29.5% | 33.9% | 25.1% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 41.3% | 32.7% |
| Lucy Herlein | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 24.9% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.