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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-2.01+1.25vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.58-1.20vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-2.97-0.81vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-3.26-1.47vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.46-1.14vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-5.09-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Western Michigan University-2.010.3%1st Place
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1.8Northwestern University-1.580.5%1st Place
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3.19Ohio State University-2.970.1%1st Place
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3.53Northwestern University-3.260.1%1st Place
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4.86Saginaw Valley State University-4.460.0%1st Place
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5.37Grand Valley State University-5.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Charlton | 28.6% | 34.5% | 24.0% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Spates | 49.2% | 28.3% | 16.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 11.9% | 17.3% | 26.9% | 29.7% | 12.5% | 1.7% |
| Heather Mooney | 7.9% | 13.3% | 22.0% | 35.4% | 17.7% | 3.7% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 40.7% | 33.0% |
| Lucy Herlein | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 8.0% | 25.2% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.