Race 2B

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Abby Preston 12.5% 13.3% 14.8% 13.9% 12.5% 10.5% 8.2% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
Ian Paice 9.0% 12.7% 11.7% 10.0% 12.5% 10.8% 9.7% 9.5% 6.3% 4.2% 2.7% 0.9%
OJ O'Connell 31.7% 23.8% 16.4% 12.3% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Drach 4.0% 4.0% 6.2% 7.0% 8.6% 8.7% 9.5% 9.7% 12.5% 11.4% 11.7% 6.7%
Javier Ramos 5.7% 7.5% 9.1% 9.5% 9.9% 9.9% 10.6% 10.2% 10.3% 7.7% 6.2% 3.4%
Lizzy Hamilton 11.4% 13.2% 13.3% 13.6% 11.6% 9.2% 10.2% 7.9% 4.7% 2.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Matthew Wood 3.0% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 4.6% 6.6% 5.9% 6.4% 9.8% 15.2% 15.4% 24.5%
Joseph Ballow 7.1% 7.7% 6.9% 10.1% 7.6% 10.4% 10.9% 10.7% 10.0% 8.9% 6.0% 3.7%
Kendra Norton 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 6.7% 6.5% 9.5% 11.5% 18.9% 32.4%
Luke Miller 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 3.2% 6.3% 7.8% 7.9% 9.3% 11.1% 14.0% 15.5% 12.1%
Max Fleischfresser 3.6% 2.9% 3.6% 5.7% 7.0% 6.6% 7.5% 10.9% 11.1% 12.8% 15.2% 13.1%
James Downer 6.2% 6.8% 8.6% 8.5% 8.7% 11.3% 11.0% 12.0% 9.8% 9.2% 5.5% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.