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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.84+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+0.99vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14-0.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.67vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.73-2.59vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.35-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Brown University1.3424.9%1st Place
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4.08University of Vermont0.8413.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Rhode Island1.0512.6%1st Place
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3.5Boston University1.1417.7%1st Place
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4.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7213.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.5%1st Place
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4.41Fairfield University0.7311.8%1st Place
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6.2Amherst College-0.354.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Grant Adam | 24.9% | 21.7% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Cooper Smith | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
Adam Strobridge | 12.6% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
Tiare Sierra | 17.7% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
Tyler Egeli | 13.1% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
Caleb Burt | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 22.1% | 47.9% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 11.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 5.4% |
Nat Edmonds | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 26.5% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.