← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.32+2.46vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.90vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.29+3.12vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.22+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.37-1.56vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.45vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-0.58vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.40+3.14vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.15vs Predicted
-
10Washington College-0.80+2.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.16vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University0.10-2.06vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University0.45-4.08vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.92-1.69vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia-0.55-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
-
6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
-
6.12Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
-
6.33George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
3.44Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
-
6.45U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
6.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
-
11.14William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
12.12Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
-
5.84University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
9.94Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.92Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
12.31Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.45University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 24.8% | 20.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Esther Ireland | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 22.7% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 26.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 29.5% |
| Gracie Goodwin | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.