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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+3.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+1.17vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+0.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.28vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73-0.31vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.36+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05-2.86vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.35-1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of Vermont0.8411.8%1st Place
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3.17Brown University1.3422.8%1st Place
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3.66Boston University1.1418.1%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7213.2%1st Place
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4.69Fairfield University0.7310.1%1st Place
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6.65McGill University-0.363.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island1.0514.1%1st Place
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6.75Amherst College-0.354.1%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Cooper Smith | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Grant Adam | 22.8% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Tiare Sierra | 18.1% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Tyler Egeli | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 24.0% | 22.9% |
Adam Strobridge | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
Nat Edmonds | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 23.8% | 26.1% |
Caleb Burt | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.