Race 3B

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
OJ O'Connell 31.3% 24.0% 17.5% 10.9% 7.8% 3.9% 2.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Paice 8.7% 11.1% 12.6% 10.4% 12.4% 10.5% 10.7% 9.3% 7.1% 4.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Abby Preston 15.1% 12.2% 13.6% 12.8% 13.2% 11.2% 8.6% 5.6% 4.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1%
James Downer 5.4% 6.4% 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% 10.6% 11.7% 10.3% 9.2% 8.2% 6.6% 2.7%
Lizzy Hamilton 11.5% 12.9% 13.1% 11.7% 12.3% 11.7% 8.4% 6.8% 6.2% 2.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Max Fleischfresser 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 7.1% 4.5% 6.7% 9.1% 9.6% 12.2% 14.0% 15.4% 9.8%
Zachary Drach 4.9% 5.4% 4.7% 8.2% 7.8% 9.4% 8.4% 11.0% 10.6% 11.8% 10.2% 7.6%
Javier Ramos 7.0% 8.0% 7.8% 9.1% 10.4% 9.4% 10.4% 12.2% 9.3% 7.9% 5.6% 2.9%
Joseph Ballow 5.7% 6.6% 7.2% 11.4% 10.9% 9.6% 11.5% 10.2% 10.6% 9.4% 4.9% 2.0%
Luke Miller 3.6% 3.8% 5.1% 4.4% 5.3% 8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 13.1% 13.9% 14.0% 13.2%
Kendra Norton 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.9% 7.6% 12.3% 20.0% 34.2%
Matthew Wood 1.6% 3.8% 2.7% 2.2% 2.9% 5.0% 6.6% 9.1% 8.5% 13.4% 17.7% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.