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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.56vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+5.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.26vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+2.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-1.61vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-2.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-0.81vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.45+0.58vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.40+2.03vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.55+0.45vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.10-2.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.74vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.80-1.98vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.92-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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7.26Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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6.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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3.39Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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3.4Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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6.19George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.58Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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11.03William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.02Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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12.28Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ava Farley | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 23.1% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 22.1% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 11.4% |
| Lina Carper | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Gracie Goodwin | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 26.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.