← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.82+2.57vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.36+0.57vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.20+5.49vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania0.49+2.73vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.63-0.95vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.70+0.26vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University-0.08+1.23vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University0.63-1.61vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University0.23-1.60vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-3.46vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.50vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-2.16+0.81vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-1.44-1.46vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia-2.23-1.21vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary-3.32-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.57Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
-
2.57Georgetown University2.360.3%1st Place
-
8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.73University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
-
4.05Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.26U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
-
8.23Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
6.39Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
-
7.4George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
-
6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
12.81Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
-
11.54Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
-
12.79University of Virginia-2.230.0%1st Place
-
14.13William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 19.3% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 33.7% | 23.2% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Moira Padilla | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 15.0% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Sperry | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 25.0% | 30.8% | 15.9% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 24.3% | 24.3% | 15.4% | 4.4% |
| Morgan Rathjen | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 23.6% | 29.1% | 17.4% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 19.6% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.