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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.23+6.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+0.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.82+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.49+2.76vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.63-0.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.70+0.30vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.91vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.08+0.29vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.63-2.62vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.20-1.34vs Predicted
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11Washington College-2.16+1.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.28vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.44-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-2.23-1.19vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-3.32-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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2.54Georgetown University2.360.3%1st Place
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3.6Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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4.09Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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8.29Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.38Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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8.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.200.0%1st Place
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12.71Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.56Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Virginia-2.230.0%1st Place
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14.11William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Clary | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 34.9% | 24.0% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 17.3% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Moira Padilla | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 21.8% | 32.0% | 15.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 4.6% |
| Morgan Rathjen | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 25.6% | 30.3% | 16.4% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.