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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.77vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.82+1.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36-0.45vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63-0.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.70+1.07vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.49-0.74vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.23-0.94vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-1.44+0.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.90vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.63-5.81vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-2.23-1.16vs Predicted
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14Washington College-2.16-2.36vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-4.12-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.44Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.55Georgetown University2.360.4%1st Place
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3.9Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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7.06George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.65Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.19Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Virginia-2.230.0%1st Place
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11.64Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
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13.6William and Mary-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 19.9% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 35.1% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 14.3% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 27.9% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Rathjen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 27.0% | 37.3% | 9.1% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 14.0% | 27.6% | 34.0% | 7.8% |
| Lynn Egan | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 11.5% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.