Race 4B

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lizzy Hamilton 11.6% 11.3% 12.9% 14.2% 12.4% 10.4% 9.6% 6.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.5% 1.0%
OJ O'Connell 31.3% 25.2% 16.5% 11.1% 6.2% 6.3% 1.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Javier Ramos 6.5% 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 9.4% 9.0% 10.6% 12.3% 11.2% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1%
Zachary Drach 3.7% 4.4% 5.3% 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 10.4% 10.2% 10.3% 12.2% 10.2% 7.6%
Ian Paice 9.2% 11.1% 12.7% 11.5% 11.2% 10.6% 10.1% 8.8% 5.4% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3%
James Downer 6.5% 7.7% 7.5% 8.3% 11.0% 10.5% 11.6% 9.1% 10.8% 9.0% 5.1% 2.9%
Max Fleischfresser 3.8% 4.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 9.7% 11.2% 13.2% 13.3% 11.6%
Joseph Ballow 7.2% 7.3% 8.9% 8.0% 9.2% 9.8% 9.2% 10.6% 11.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.4%
Matthew Wood 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.8% 5.8% 7.1% 8.4% 10.1% 13.6% 17.9% 22.7%
Kendra Norton 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.3% 2.4% 4.8% 4.4% 6.4% 8.4% 10.4% 19.2% 34.2%
Abby Preston 12.5% 13.5% 14.0% 12.0% 13.9% 10.0% 9.3% 6.6% 4.2% 1.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Luke Miller 4.0% 3.9% 3.0% 4.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.7% 10.2% 10.5% 14.3% 16.0% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.