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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.33+2.55vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+0.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+1.56vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.20-2.75vs Predicted
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6Boston University-1.31+0.31vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.69-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.62-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Brown University0.3313.9%1st Place
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2.97Fairfield University0.4223.6%1st Place
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4.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.157.8%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.4%1st Place
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2.25University of Rhode Island1.2036.8%1st Place
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6.31Boston University-1.312.7%1st Place
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6.61Amherst College-1.692.5%1st Place
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5.11University of Vermont-0.625.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keller Morrison | 13.9% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 23.6% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 5.6% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 4.8% |
| Max Sigel | 36.8% | 27.9% | 18.9% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 27.5% | 32.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 46.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.