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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.36+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.49+4.30vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.82+0.50vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.23+3.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.70+1.09vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.63-2.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.38vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.63-1.93vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.08-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-2.23+1.85vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-1.44-0.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.97vs Predicted
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13Washington College-2.16-1.37vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-4.12-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Georgetown University2.360.3%1st Place
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6.3University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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3.5Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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7.1George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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3.98Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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6.07Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Virginia-2.230.0%1st Place
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10.66Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.63Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
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13.59William and Mary-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 33.3% | 25.2% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 18.8% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 14.6% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Rathjen | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 12.9% | 28.1% | 36.6% | 9.8% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 28.2% | 24.6% | 15.7% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 15.3% | 28.0% | 32.9% | 7.8% |
| Lynn Egan | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 10.7% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.