Race 11B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Doble 32.6% 24.8% 16.2% 11.0% 9.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gilda Dondona 20.0% 21.2% 16.3% 14.5% 11.2% 8.1% 5.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Esme Gonzalez 5.2% 6.0% 8.2% 7.9% 8.6% 10.4% 11.7% 14.4% 13.5% 8.8% 4.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Elizabeth Frost 4.4% 6.9% 9.2% 9.5% 10.3% 13.1% 13.4% 11.9% 9.5% 7.3% 3.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 5.4% 7.2% 8.6% 11.3% 11.3% 13.6% 11.6% 10.9% 9.6% 7.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Conde 14.6% 15.2% 18.0% 14.7% 13.3% 9.0% 6.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Mason 2.9% 2.7% 4.5% 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 9.5% 10.2% 14.1% 16.6% 13.0% 5.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Josephine Sherry 7.0% 7.0% 8.7% 9.5% 11.1% 11.3% 13.0% 11.2% 9.9% 7.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nora Ciak 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 4.9% 13.1% 29.9% 33.7% 8.1%
Hayden Clary 3.8% 3.5% 4.3% 8.0% 8.3% 11.2% 11.1% 14.1% 12.6% 12.7% 8.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Anna Robertson 2.6% 3.7% 3.0% 4.7% 6.3% 8.6% 9.8% 11.2% 14.6% 18.6% 11.8% 4.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Morgan Rathjen 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 4.6% 14.4% 24.6% 37.8% 9.2%
Ella Gonzalez 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.3% 4.3% 6.8% 10.5% 24.2% 26.0% 14.7% 2.4%
Lynn Egan 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.8% 4.5% 11.6% 80.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.