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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania0.49+5.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+0.53vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.63+3.15vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63-0.09vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.82-1.42vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.70-2.04vs Predicted
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9Washington College-2.16+2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-2.23+1.87vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.23-3.81vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-4.12+0.61vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.44-3.43vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.08-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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2.53Georgetown University2.360.4%1st Place
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6.15Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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3.91Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.58Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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11.69Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Virginia-2.230.0%1st Place
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7.19George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.61William and Mary-4.120.0%1st Place
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10.57Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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7.73Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 35.7% | 23.8% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 14.3% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 17.1% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 13.2% | 30.5% | 34.4% | 6.8% |
| Morgan Rathjen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 5.2% | 12.6% | 25.9% | 37.7% | 10.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lynn Egan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 80.7% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 27.4% | 23.6% | 14.9% | 2.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.