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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.36+1.55vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.51vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+0.71vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.82-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.49+0.37vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.63-1.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.08-0.69vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.44+1.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.70-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-2.23+0.54vs Predicted
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12Washington College-2.16-0.54vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.23-6.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88-3.16vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-4.12-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Georgetown University2.360.3%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.71Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.42Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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5.97Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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7.31Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.13Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Virginia-2.230.0%1st Place
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11.46Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
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6.85George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
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13.51William and Mary-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 34.8% | 24.5% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 15.5% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 18.3% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 2.1% |
| Josephine Sherry | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Rathjen | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 23.5% | 30.4% | 8.5% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 23.6% | 27.5% | 8.7% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gentry Schneider | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 3.0% |
| Lynn Egan | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.