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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Esme Gonzalez 4.3% 6.0% 9.0% 8.3% 11.5% 10.8% 14.7% 13.9% 11.8% 6.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 6.0% 8.5% 10.0% 10.5% 13.6% 14.2% 13.6% 11.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Conde 16.8% 16.8% 16.5% 15.3% 12.9% 10.3% 6.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Doble 33.2% 24.1% 17.2% 12.8% 6.8% 3.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gilda Dondona 17.1% 19.4% 19.4% 16.6% 12.1% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Gonzalez 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 2.9% 5.0% 7.5% 19.4% 25.3% 18.5% 10.6% 2.2%
Josephine Sherry 7.5% 8.4% 8.4% 10.6% 12.1% 14.0% 12.2% 12.3% 9.9% 4.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Frost 6.2% 7.4% 8.7% 10.8% 10.5% 12.3% 12.7% 11.1% 12.2% 5.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Hayden Clary 3.9% 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.3% 10.7% 13.3% 16.7% 16.6% 9.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Anna Robertson 2.6% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 8.0% 9.0% 11.0% 15.3% 19.4% 15.2% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Nora Ciak 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 4.0% 10.1% 17.1% 26.1% 26.1% 8.7%
Morgan Rathjen 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 10.8% 17.2% 23.1% 29.4% 8.3%
Gentry Schneider 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 14.3% 21.4% 21.9% 20.8% 3.7%
Lynn Egan 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 5.3% 12.1% 77.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.