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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania0.49+5.20vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.52vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+0.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.36-1.43vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.82-1.54vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.44+4.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.70-1.44vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.63-3.12vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.23-3.14vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.08-3.42vs Predicted
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12Washington College-2.16-0.53vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-2.23-1.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.88-3.15vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-4.12-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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5.52St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.74Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.57Georgetown University2.360.3%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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10.3Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy0.700.1%1st Place
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5.88Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.86George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.47Washington College-2.160.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Virginia-2.230.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.880.0%1st Place
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13.52William and Mary-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esme Gonzalez | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 16.8% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 33.2% | 24.1% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 17.1% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 19.4% | 25.3% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Josephine Sherry | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nora Ciak | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 26.1% | 26.1% | 8.7% |
| Morgan Rathjen | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 23.1% | 29.4% | 8.3% |
| Gentry Schneider | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 3.7% |
| Lynn Egan | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.