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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20+1.25vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.39+0.84vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.40vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.87-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.3%1st Place
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2.84Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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2.01Middlebury College0.430.4%1st Place
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3.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.3Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Tofolo | 31.7% | 31.0% | 21.2% | 12.5% | 3.6% |
| John O'Connell | 16.4% | 23.3% | 28.4% | 24.0% | 7.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 40.3% | 30.8% | 18.3% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Cole Perra | 7.8% | 10.1% | 21.9% | 34.7% | 25.5% |
| Neil Flynn | 3.8% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 19.7% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.